The buses are warming up their engines and headed this way, the planes in the next few hours will be at the head of a convoy of activists and volunteers who travel south up the campaigns of Republican South Carolina presidential primary in Florida.
I'm not clairvoyant, more than the next guy, so do not assume to choose who will win tonight, but South Carolina in the last 30 years have already chosen the Republican candidate in the end.
May the states of Iowa and New Hampshire selecting this area, but in all elections in the last 30 South Carolina chose the winner.
In light of the fireworks in this race in the last two weeks here in Palmetto show some trends that I think will be with us during the primaries and beyond in setting the direction the Republican Party.
Here are some ideas:
1. Ron Paul is on something. One of the weather, the bell of the most important is the political efforts by adding new voters, more than any other campaign.
It's anything but a portion of the standard Republican voters, is a different audience. I spent much time with Republican voters in this state for the past 16 years and as a result I know a lot of faces, in the marches, Ron Paul and I am sure you will recognize some of them - and that's good .
Political parties and movements growing to do - they grow. Should be anything except what is common brotherhood, and in this sense, people are always by their parties. Thinking George McGovern in the Democratic primaries, or Pat Robertson in the 1972 election the Republican primary in 1988.
No competitions won the nomination, but both used the political movements that were much larger than individual nominations - with McGovern anti-war movement within the Democratic Party and Robertson in what would be the Christian Coalition. Both movements have become the dominant power within their parties with the effects that covered the first start of the campaign. Regardless of how Ron Paul is not night, moves to focus on debt and deficit and government spending and freedom is an important part of the restructuring of the Republican Party to move forward.
2. "It's the economy stupid." That was the motto of James Carville during the race between Clinton and Bush, and demonstrated that the formula for winning. History does not repeat itself, and we seem to be "one of these economic times," once more.
Anything else can explain the inability to turn Rick Santorum in the state of South Carolina. Given the momentum that was conducted in Iowa, along with trends in the conservative society of South Carolina, appeared in an ideal position for up to challenge Romney in South Carolina.
I think the headwind for the economy of their country.
A number of social conservatives and self-born again Christians in this country has not changed, and show no interest in topics like the life of the unborn.
What has changed is the focus.
He said the recession is when a neighbor loses his job, recession occurs when you lose. In the case of unemployment at 9.9 percent and has seen many families alike, and as a result of the most important concern has been on the job and the economy.
It is expected that this trend will continue to play in countries with high unemployment rates across the country between now and the appointment of.
Finally, I want to tell voters in primary elections are still looking for the perfect man. Not like the right man, but as is the case in the right of Romney. Cain for several months we have had what looks like the flavor of the week with Bachmann, Perry and more - while the numbers are surprisingly stable Romney by almost a third of voters in the primaries. Two-thirds of whom are still looking for something else, and here at 11 o'clock in the state of South Carolina, which seems to be coalescing around Gingrich.
This will be the night of the ball and jump, and I do not know whether the increase in the afternoon is enough to take and Newt too. But what I think is that the increase in the state of South Carolina has less to do with the two performances debate with conservatives in this state is still the desire for a more conservative standard bearer.
It seems that things that normally can be fatal in the case and the preservation of this one more because of desperation conservatives feel about the person who wants to take his case to Washington.
If Romney moves to the right in the primaries to come, or is beaten by someone like Gingrich, which is considered not going to see ... But make no mistake, South Carolina has already set a tone for the "right" in the future.
So wait, and remember: the perfect man, and the economy, and the military, Ron Paul is even more in the future and trends that dominated three out from the primary and South Carolina
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